6th NAEFS
Workshop Program
Tuesday (May 1st 2012)
Session 1: 8:30 12:00 PM
8:30-8:45. Welcome by CAPT Erica
Sauer, Fleet Numerical Commanding Officer
8:45-9:00. Logistics and Announcements
- Chuck Skupniewicz
Topic: Ensemble system development - current status and
future plan from each center
Chair: Chuck Skupniewicz
9:00 -9:30. NCEP GEFS current
status and future plan Dingchen Hou
9:30-10:00. FNMOC GEFS current
status and future plans -- Michael
Sestak
10:00-10:30. MSC-CMC GEPS current
status and future plans - Martin
Charron
10:30-10:50 Break
Topic: Data exchange and dissemination from each center
Chair: Michael Sestak
10:50-11:30. NAEFS+FNMOC real time
data exchange (combined with CMC) Lewis
Poulin to lead this with contributions from Rebecca
Cosgrove and Dick Wobus
11:30-12:00. Plan for NAEFS data
exchange frequency, resolution and additional parameters Dick
Wobus to lead this with contributions from CMC
(Lewis Poulin), MMC and FNMOC
Lunch break: 12:00 2:00 PM
Session 2: 2:00 5:20 PM
Topic: NAEFS post process (development and plan)
Chair: Andre Methot
2:00-2:20. NAEFS post process at
NCEP Bo
Cui and Hong Guan
2:20-2:40. New
daily climate mean and stdv - Comparison between Fourier modes and triangular
filtering Bo
Yang and Yuejian Zhu
2:40-3:00. MDL: EKDMOD John
Wagner and Bruce Veenhuis (Remote presentation)
3:00-3:20. On
the use of NAEFS data for public forecast generation - Stephane Beauregard
3:20-3:40. Use of reforecast for
future calibration methods Stephane Beauregard
3:40-4:00. Break
Topics: NAEFS product generation, distribution and
application
Chair: Yuejian Zhu/Martin Montero
4:00-4:20. NAEFS product
generation and application Dingchen Hou
4:20-4:40. Canadian REPS products
Ron
Frenette
4:40-5:00. Development of an
Extreme Forecast Index: Preliminary results Hai Lin
5:00-5:20. NAEFS application at
Mexico Martin
Montero
Wednesday (May 2nd 2012)
Session 3: 8:30 11:30 PM
Topics: NAEFS LAM experiments and plan
Chair: Lewis Poulin
8:30-9:00. NCEP SREF (status and
plan) Jun
Du (Remote
presentation)
9:00-9:30. MSC-CMC REPS current status and future
plans - Martin
Charron
9:30-10:00. NAEFS LAM domain,
common grid, variables and format Martin
Sharron, Jun Du (and Martin Montero)
Topics: Wave ensembles products and future plan
Chair: Lewis Pollin
10:00-10:30. The status, performance
and plans of wave ensemble joint presentation of NCEP, FNMOC and CMC Paul
Wittmann (FNMOC), Henrique Alves
(NCEP) and Natacha Bernier (CMC)
10:30-10:50. Break
Topics: Extended range forecast (include seasonal forecast,
NMME discussion?)
Chair: Martin Charron
10:50-11:10. Week-2 forecast from
NAEFS at CPC/NCEP Dan
Collins
11:10-11:30. Extended range
ensemble forecast experiments Malaquias Pena
11:30-11:50. MSC-CMC Monthly EPS forecast current status and future plans Hai Lin
11:50-12:10. NMME
at NCEP Malaquias Pena, Qing Zhang
and Jin Huang
Session 4: 2:00
5:00 PM (one break)
2:00-2:30. User
Surveys and Product Discussion - Scott Sandgathe
2:30-2:50. Watchfloor of the Future - Fleet Weather Center, Norfolk
2:50-3:10. AFWA
(untitled) - Steve Rugg
3:10-3:30. Ensembles in
ship routing (OTSR) - LCDR Keefer, Fleet Weather
Center, San Diego
3:45-4:15. Products
and Training: Rich Grumm
(Remote presentation)
4:15-4:45. THORPEX
Science Plan - Malaquias Pena Mendez (Edmund
Chang/Zoltan Toth)
4:45-5:00. Discussion:
Next Steps Dave McCarren
7:00-10:00 Sunset Beach
Party at Carmel Beach
8:30-9:00.
Presentation from UKMet Warren Tennant
9:00-9:15. Community
Interactions Brian Etherton
Topic: Ensemble
verification real time evaluation, exchange results between centers
9:15-9:45. Ensemble
verification Yuejian Zhu
9:45-10:15. Week-2
forecast verification at CPC Dave Unger/Dan Collins
10:30-10:50. WMO GPC
EPS verification exchange Andrι Mιthot
Topic: Evaluation
for NAEFS inclusion of FNMOC ensemble
10:50-11:20.
Report on real time evaluation of NAEFS inclusion of FNMOC ensemble Bo Cui/Yan Lou
Session 4: 2:30 PM
end of workshop
Topics: NAEFS open
discussion and future plan
3:00-5:00. NAEFS workshop open discussion
Leaders: Yuejian Zhu jointly with Andrι Mιthot, Martin Montero
(and Mike Sestak)
- NAEFS
operational data related issues Lewis Pollin
- Recommendation
for post process and data distribution Lewis pollin