5th NAEFS Workshop Agenda
Jiutepec, Morelos, México
May 17-19, 2010
| Wednesday May 19, 2010 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:00-9:15 | Welcome | Hosting Institutions (P. Martínez, A. Vázquez) | |
| Introduction R. Lobato (IMTA), Yuejian Zhu (NCEP) | |||
| Session One: | Monday 9:15 – 12:30 NAEFS development and data exchange | ||
| 9:15-10:30 | Recent developments, upgrades and future plans | ||
| Session chair: (A. Methot) | |||
| FNMOC | M. Sestek | ||
| MSC | P. Houtekmar | ||
| NCEP | Yuejian Zhu | ||
| Follow up discussion | |||
| 10:30 – 10:45 | Break | ||
| 10:45– 11:30 | Inclusion of FNMOC ensemble | ||
| Session chair: (M. Peña) | |||
| MSC | Evaluation against observations, Normand Cagnon | ||
| NCEP | Evaluations against best analysis, Bo Cui | ||
| Follow up discussion | |||
| 11:30 – 12:30 | Data Exchange and Dissemination | ||
| Session chair: (M. Sestak) | |||
| MSC | L. Poulin, R. Cosgrove & M Sestak | ||
| NCEP | R. Wobus | ||
| NOMADS data distribution | R. Wobus | ||
| Follow up discussion | |||
| 12:30 – 13:30 | Lunch Break | ||
| Session Two: | Monday 13:30 – 16:00 TIGGE-GIFS, NAEFS-LAM, NAEFS extended | ||
| 13:30 – 14:00 | TIGGE-GIFS | ||
| Session chair: (J. Du) | |||
| NCEP | Cyclone tracks and CXML format data exchange, D. Wobus | ||
| MSC | Cyclone track prototyping from Canada, M. Charron | ||
| Follow up discussion | |||
| 14:00 – 15:00 | NAEFS-LAM experiment and operation | ||
| Session chair: (N. Cagnow) | |||
| NCEP | SREF plans for NAEFS-LAM, Jun Du | ||
| MSC | REP status, future upgrades, plans, M. Charron | ||
| MSC | REP file formats, size and exchanges, L. Poulin | ||
| Follow up discussion | |||
| 15:00 – 16:00 | NAEFS extended forecast, long range ensemble and merging | ||
| Session chair: (A. Hernández) | |||
| MSC | Monthly forecast, M. Charron | ||
| NCEP | Week 2 forecast, development and plans, D. Collins | ||
| NCEP | Intraseasonal study, M. Peña | ||
| Follow up discussion | |||
| 16:00-19:00 | Lecture and training | ||
| Ensemble Forecasting, basic concepts | Carolle Marchand, MSC | ||
| High impact tropical weather | Chis Thorncroft | ||
| 19:00-20:00 | Icebreaker | ||
| Tuesday May 18, 2010 | |||
| Session Three: | Tuesday 8:30 – 12:30 Products and applications and verifications | ||
| 8:30 – 10:30 | NAEFS Products (include derived products) | ||
| Session chair: (R. Prieto) | |||
| NCEP | Bias correction and downscaling, B. Cui | ||
| Precipitation analysis, Dingchen Hou | |||
| Week-2 products, Dan Collins | |||
| FNMOC/NCEP | Wave ensemble driving by global ensemble winds, Mike Sestek/Hendrik Tolman | ||
| MSC | EPS based wave forecasting, André Methot | ||
| Day 6 and 7 Canadian automated public forecast, B. Archambault | |||
| Follow up discussion | |||
| 10:30 – 10:45 | Break | ||
| 10:45 – 11:45 | NAEFS verification and discussion | ||
| Session chair: (Y. Zhu) | |||
| NCEP | Performance metrics, Yuejian Zhu | ||
| MSC | Verification of week-2 products, D. Collins | ||
| FNMOC | Verification, Mike Sestek | ||
| Follow up discussion about the strategic way of ensuring consistency of NAEFS products | |||
| 11:45 – 12:15 | NUOPC Status and plan (include requirement) D. McCarren | ||
| 12:15 – 13:30 | Lunch Break | ||
| Session Four: | Tuesday 13:30 – 16:00 | ||
| 13:30 – 16:00 | Usage of NAEFS products in Mexico, Central and South America | ||
| Session chair: (M. Rosengaus) | |||
| CPTEC | D. Herdies | ||
| MSC | Zhiming Kang | ||
| SMN | Alberto Hernandez Unzón | ||
| IMTA | Ricardo Prieto/René Lobato | ||
| Follow up discussion | |||
| 16:00-19:00 | Lecture and training | ||
| Ensemble Forecasting: Products and applications | Normand Cagnon, MSC | ||
| Predictability and ensemble generation | Eugenia Kalnay, UMD | ||
| Wednesday May 19, 2010 | |||
| Session Five: | Wednesday 8:30 – 12:30 NAEFS Future Direction | ||
| 8:30-10:30 | Product design improvements, new products | ||
| Session chair: (D. Herdies) | |||
| NCEP | Future coupling GEFS for extended forecasts, M. Peña | ||
| Real time forecasts/hindcasts for extended forecast calibration, Y. Zhu | |||
| Stochastic Physics – THORPEX proposal, D. Hou | |||
| Future post-process – THORPEX proposal, B.Cui | |||
| ESRL | Pseudo-precipitation – THORPEX proposal, H. Yuan | ||
| 10:30-10:45 | Break | ||
| 10:45 -12:30 | Discussion on the draft document about the next 3-5 year plan to update NAEFS, L. Crevier | ||
| Conclusion/summary: | André Method | ||