NUOPC Unified Verifcation
Yan Luo, Jiayi Peng and Yuejian Zhu
Phone: 301-763-8000 ext 7727
E-mail: Yan.Luo@noaa.gov or Jiayi.Peng@noaa.gov or Yuejian.Zhu@noaa.gov
Documentations
Statement of Need Metrics Verification (15 October 2010 - pdf)
NCEP ensemble verification presentation (Yuejian Zhu - pdf)
Probabilistic Verification Reference: Yuejian Zhu (Jan. 2008 AMS annual meeting)
Statistics for CONUS precipitation forecast (every 24hrs, against CCPA)
Three individule model performence
Statistics for TS tracks
Fair comparison for delay forecasts
2011 - Multi-model Ensemble Mean tracks (out to September 30)
2011 - Multi-model Ensemble Mean tracks (After September 15 2011)
2012 - Multi-model Ensemble Mean tracks
2013 - Multi-model Ensemble Mean tracks
Time series - 30-d running mean for selected lead times, all bias corrected, against UKMet analysis, Update by end of each season
NH 500hPa height AC - 5-day
NH 500hPa height CRPS - 5-day
NH 500hPa height AC - 10-day
NH 500hPa height CRPS - 10-day
NA 2-m temperature RMS/SPRD - 5-day
NA 2-m temperature CRPS - 5-day
NA 2-m temperature RMS/SPRD - 10-day
NA 2-m temperature CRPS - 10-day
NH 10-m U-wind RMS/SPRD - 5-day
NH 10-m U-wind CRPS - 5-day
NH 10-m U-wind RMS/SPRD - 10-day
NH 10-m U-wind CRPS - 10-day
Verification Statistics for Individual Raw Ensembles (against UKmet analysis, Update by end of each season)
Winter 2015-2016
Fal 2015
Summer 2015
Spring 2015
Winter 2014-2015
Fall 2014
Summer 2014
Spring 2014
Winter 2013-2014
Fall 2013
Summer 2013
Spring 2013
Winter 2012-2013
Fall 2012
Summer 2012
Spring 2012
Winter 2011-2012
Fall 2011
Summer 2011
Spring 2011
Verification Statistics for Individual Bias Corrected Ensembles (against UKmet analysis, Update by end of each season)
Winter 2015-2016
Fall 2015
Summer 2015
Spring 2015
Winter 2014-2015
Fall 2014
Summer 2014
Spring 2014
Winter 2013-2014
Fall 2013
Summer 2013
Spring 2013
Winter 2012-2013
Fall 2012
Summer 2012
Spring 2012
Winter 2011-2012
Fall 2011
Summer 2011
Spring 2011
Verification Statistics for Raw Combined Ensembles (against UKmet analysis, Update by end of each season)
Winter 2015-2016
Fall 2015
Summer 2015
Spring 2015
Winter 2014-2015
Fall 2014
Summer 2014
Spring 2014
Winter 2013-2014
Fall 2013
Summer 2013
Spring 2013
Winter 2012-2013
Fall 2012
Summer 2012
Spring 2012
Winter 2011-2012
Fall 2011
Summer 2011
Spring 2011
Verification Statistics for Bias Corrected Combined Ensembles (against UKmet analysis, Update by end of each season)
Winter 2015-2016
Fall 2015
Summer 2015
Spring 2015
Winter 2014-2015
Fall 2014
Summer 2014
Spring 2014
Winter 2013-2014
Fall 2013
Summer 2013
Spring 2013
Winter 2012-2013
Fall 2012
Summer 2012
Spring 2012
Winter 2011-2012
Fall 2011
Summer 2011
Spring 2011
