NCEP/ECMWF Ensemble 200 mb Winds Comparison: vt 00-132h (Atlantic)

Forecast Initial Time: 2009031500


Date last updated: 03/15/09 06:17:16 EST

Go to Date Menu for NCEP/ECMWF Ensemble Tropical Products
Go to NCEP/ECMWF Ensemble 2009031500 Tropical Products Menu
Go to NCEP/ECMWF Ensemble North America Comparison Page
Go to NCEP Ensemble Home Page

*** NOTE: Due to agreements with ECMWF, ECMWF forecast data may NOT be redistributed to anyone outside NCEP under any circumstances. It is for the use of NCEP personnel only!!! Products listed in red have restricted access.


NOTE: SCROLL DOWN -- GRAPHICS ARE SHOWN BELOW MENU TABLES

--- Atlantic Basin ---

Product Comparison Forecast Time/Interval
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles Mean MSLP (overlay) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles Mean Z500 (overlay) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles 200 mb Mean Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles 500 mb Mean Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles 850 mb Mean Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles 200-850 mb Mean Wind Shear 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean MSLP (overlay) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean Z500 (overlay) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 200 mb Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 500 mb Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 700 mb Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 850 mb Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 10m Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 200-850 mb Wind Shear 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean Potential Vorticity (theta=340K) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean Potential Vorticity (theta=345K) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean Potential Vorticity (theta=350K) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)


--- Eastern Pacific Basin ---

Product Comparison Forecast Time/Interval
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles Mean MSLP (overlay) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles Mean Z500 (overlay) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles 200 mb Mean Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles 500 mb Mean Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles 850 mb Mean Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
NCEP/ECMWF Ensembles 200-850 mb Mean Wind Shear 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean MSLP (overlay) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean Z500 (overlay) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 200 mb Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 500 mb Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 700 mb Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 850 mb Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 10m Wind 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean 200-850 mb Wind Shear 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean Potential Vorticity (theta=340K) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean Potential Vorticity (theta=345K) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)
GFS / NCEP Ensemble Mean Potential Vorticity (theta=350K) 00-132h (all maps) 00 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132
144-228h (all maps) 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 Days 0 to 5 (maps every 24h)

--- Experimental Ensemble-Based Strike Probabilities ---

NOTE: These probability forecasts, like any forecasts, have biases. We are currently investigating techniques to calibrate these probabilities and minimize the biases. The products displayed below show the raw, uncalibrated probabilities.

NCEP & ECMWF Ensemble-based strike probability plots

NCEP Ensemble-based strike probability plots


























Go to next page (144-228h maps)