MONAN: A New Paradigm on Focus and Organization for Advancing Numerical Weather, Climate, and Environmental Forecasting in South America
Saulo R. Freitas
Brazilian National Institute for Space Research - INPE
20 November, 2pm
Abstract:
The increasing frequency of extreme meteorological and climatic events due to climate change has adversely impacted public health, the economy, and societal security. Predicting weather across various scales represents one of humanity's most significant technical and scientific challenges. Several countries have undertaken efforts to tackle this challenge, demonstrating the importance of having real-time and reliable information about current and future atmospheric conditions. Brazil has a significant history of developing and applying weather and climate prediction models. However, these efforts are fragmented and dispersed among various groups and models, leading to a lack of interaction. Consequently, the predictions currently produced in the country do not fully utilize the current state-of-the-art scientific knowledge in numerical modeling, methods, and data. In this context, Brazil possesses enormous potential for advancement by concentrating efforts and expertise by adopting a community Earth System modeling approach that addresses all the relevant scales required by Brazilian society.
This talk introduces the MONAN program (Model for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Prediction). MONAN is a national community program led by the Brazilian National Institute for Space Research that proposes a new paradigm on focus and organization for modeling the Earth System to bring the country to the state-of-the-art in weather, climate, and environmental forecasting.