Near-Surface Forecast Verification Statistics

for Operational NCEP models: 2010-present

2-meter air temperature and relative humidity, 10-meter wind speed


Monthly composite of model 84-hour diurnal forecasts

(mesoscale) NAM model only, and NAM, GFS, and NGM models verified against observations averaged by region and composited on a monthly basis.


Annual time series of 48-hour forecast bias

Annual time series of the bias of the 48-hr forecast from the NAM model verified against observations averaged by region for the given year.


Forecast Verification Statistics (FVS) regions:

west
east
NWC
GRB
NMT
NPL
MDW
APL
NEC
SWC
SWD
SMT
SPL
LMV
GMC
SEC
NAK
SAK

east = FVS regions: MDW,APL,NEC,LMV,GMC,SEC

west = FVS regions: NWC,GRB,NMT,NPL,SWC,SWD,SMT,SPL


An explanation of how the plots are made and how to read the plots, and additional comments can be found here.


page updated 09 December 2010


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