Ensemble filtering at NCAR and the importance of four-dimensional localization



Abstract:

The Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART) at NCAR is a modular software environment which can be used to perform ensemble filter data assimilation experiments. DART filters combined with NCAR's Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) have been used to assimilate reanalysis observations from January, 2003. The results are compared to the NCEP operational system from that time. Future operational implementations of ensemble filters are, for practical reasons, likely to be limited in the number of ensemble members that can be run. As a consequence, sampling error is a fundamental issue that must be dealt with using three-dimensional covariance localization. A key advantage of ensemble filter data assimilation systems is that they can be readily applied to problems such as adaptive observations, routine network design and re-analysis. For these applications, four-dimensional as opposed to three-dimensional localization is necessary. Using examples in a hierarchy of atmospheric-like prediction models, the importance of four-dimensional localization in ensemble filter applications to adaptive observations, routine network design and re-analysis will be discussed.

Shree P. Khare and J. L. Anderson