Daily Verification:

* Home - GFS vs. ECMWF (precipitation)
GFS vs. ECMWF (jets zonal)
GFS vs. ECMWF (jets meridional)

GFS vs. FV3GFS (precipitation)
GFS vs. FV3GFS (jets total)

Past Verification (aggregated statistics):

2016
2015
2014

How MODE Works and MODE presentations:

Additional Links






METHOD FOR OBJECT-BASED DIAGNOSIC EVALUATION (MODE)

* Work in Progress *







Daily Forecast Verification for 24-h Accumulated Precipitation

GFS vs. ECMWF




OBSERVATIONS

VALID AT 12Z ON:


Objects defined where threshold >= 11mm after fields were smoothed using a smoothing radius of 5 grid squares


1 inch = 25.4 millimeters


T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7






36-h VERIFICATION

INITIALIZED AT 00Z ON:

VALID AT 12Z ON:


Objects defined where threshold >= 11mm after fields were smoothed using a smoothing radius of 5 grid squares


ECMWF                                                           GFS

                             


                           

(UPDATES BEGIN EVERYDAY AT 12:00AM EASTERN TIME)







60-h VERIFICATION

INITIALIZED AT 00Z ON:

VALID AT 12Z ON:


Objects defined where threshold >= 11mm after fields were smoothed using a smoothing radius of 5 grid squares


ECMWF                                                           GFS

                             


                           

(UPDATES BEGIN EVERYDAY AT 12:00AM EASTERN TIME)







84-h VERIFICATION

INITIALIZED AT 00Z ON:

VALID AT 12Z ON:


Objects defined where threshold >= 11mm after fields were smoothed using a smoothing radius of 5 grid squares


ECMWF                                                           GFS

                             


                           

(UPDATES BEGIN EVERYDAY AT 12:00AM EASTERN TIME)







108-h VERIFICATION

INITIALIZED AT 00Z ON:

VALID AT 12Z ON:


Objects defined where threshold >= 11mm after fields were smoothed using a smoothing radius of 5 grid squares


ECMWF                                                           GFS

                             


                           

(UPDATES BEGIN EVERYDAY AT 12:00AM EASTERN TIME)







132-h VERIFICATION

INITIALIZED AT 00Z ON:

VALID AT 12Z ON:


Objects defined where threshold >= 11mm after fields were smoothed using a smoothing radius of 5 grid squares


ECMWF                                                           GFS

                             


                           

(UPDATES BEGIN EVERYDAY AT 12:00AM EASTERN TIME)







156-h VERIFICATION

INITIALIZED AT 00Z ON:

VALID AT 12Z ON:


Objects defined where threshold >= 11mm after fields were smoothed using a smoothing radius of 5 grid squares


ECMWF                                                           GFS

                             


                           

(UPDATES BEGIN EVERYDAY AT 12:00AM EASTERN TIME)







180-h VERIFICATION

INITIALIZED AT 00Z ON:

VALID AT 12Z ON:


Objects defined where threshold >= 11mm after fields were smoothed using a smoothing radius of 5 grid squares


ECMWF                                                           GFS

                             


                           

(UPDATES BEGIN EVERYDAY AT 12:00AM EASTERN TIME)











LATEST Median of the Maximum Interest (MMI) VALUES

FOR FORECASTS INITIALIZED AT 00Z ON:


Objects defined for multiple threshold and smoothing combinations



ALL FORECAST LEAD TIMES FROM 36-h TO 180-h


ECMWF                                                                       GFS

                                 




INDIVIDUAL FORECAST LEAD TIMES




36-h forecast lead time

ECMWF                                                                       GFS

                                 


60-h forecast lead time

ECMWF                                                                       GFS

                                 


84-h forecast lead time

ECMWF                                                                       GFS

                                 


108-h forecast lead time

ECMWF                                                                       GFS

                                 


132-h forecast lead time

ECMWF                                                                       GFS

                                 


156-h forecast lead time

ECMWF                                                                       GFS

                                 


180-h forecast lead time

ECMWF                                                                       GFS

                                 


(UPDATES BEGIN EVERYDAY AT 12:00AM EASTERN TIME)

* If there is no data for a specific forecast lead time, this is likely due to little or no objects being defined






Please contact tracey.dorian@noaa.gov for questions or comments

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