Analysis and Forecasting at the National Hurricane Center: What's New in 2017?
NHC 1:30 pm 1 June in 2155
The National Hurricane Center issues analyses, forecasts, and warnings
over large parts of the North Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, and in
support of many nearby countries. Advances in observational
capabilities, operational numerical weather prediction, and forecaster
tools and support systems over the past 15–20 yr have enabled the
center to make more accurate forecasts, extend forecast lead times, and
provide new products and services. Important limitations, however,
persist. This paper discusses the current workings and state of the
nation’s hurricane warning program, and highlights recent improvements
and the enabling science and technology. It concludes with a look ahead
at opportunities to address challenges.