In my presentation I will address recent changes and upgrades in the
ECMWF operational forecast system, product development with particular
emphasis on severe weather prediction, as well as the performance of
the deterministic and the probabilistic medium-range forecasting
Monthly and seasonal forecasts are now produced operationally at ECMWF, some of the products will be presented together with a performance assessment. The talk will be concluded with an outlook into plans for future developments.