Validating the Global Ocean Prediction System version 3.1
Alan J. Wallcraft
NRL
10 May, 2 pm, in 2890

Abstract:
The Global Ocean Forecast System (GOFS) 3.1 is comprised of the 1/12° HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) two–way coupled on the same grid to the Community Ice CodE (CICE) in a daily update cycle with the Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation (NCODA). Additionally it uses Improved Synthetic Ocean Profiles (ISOP) to project surface information downward into the water column. GOFS 3.1 nowcasts/forecasts the ocean’s “weather”, which includes the three-dimensional ocean temperature, salinity and current structure, the surface mixed layer, the location of mesoscale features, and sea ice fields (including concentration, thickness and drift) in both hemispheres. It is scheduled to replace GOFS 3.0 for the ocean and the Arctic Cap Nowcast/Forecast System (ACNFS) for sea ice, both of which are the existing operational systems at the Naval Oceanographic Office. We describe the differences between GOFS 3.0 and GOFS 3.1 and compare both (and ACNFS) against unassimilated observations at both the nowcast time and as a function of forecast length.