EMC: Precipitation skill scores for Oct 2004

Eta vs. NGM vs. GFS, 24h (12Z-12Z) Scores over CONUS:

• Equitable Threat and Bias
• Probability of Detection and False Alarm Ratio
• Eq. Threat with bias adjustments (top: Mesinger's; bottom: Brill's "odds ratio" conservation)

EDAS vs. ETA 24h (12Z-12Z) Scores over CONUS

24h (12Z-12Z) Eq. Threat and Bias Scores for the nested runs, verified on the nest's domain over CONUS:

• WRF(EM), WRFNMM Western Nests vs. Eta vs. GFS, 30h forecast from the 06Z cycle
• WRF(EM), WRFNMM Central Nests vs. Eta vs. GFS, 24 and 48h forecasts from the 12Z cycle
• WRF(EM), WRFNMM Eastern Nests vs. Eta vs. GFS, 42h forecast from the 18Z cycle

3-hourly Verification Scores vs. fcst hour, for amount > 0.1"/3hr, verified the nest's domain over CONUS:

• WRF(EM), WRFNMM Western Nests vs. Eta vs. GFS, forecasts from the 06Z cycle
• WRF(EM), WRFNMM Central Nests vs. Eta vs. GFS, forecasts from the 12Z cycle
• WRF(EM), WRFNMM Eastern Nests vs. Eta vs. GFS, forecasts from the 18Z cycle

International model comparisons:

• Regional Models (ETA, CMC), 24+36+48h forecasts
• Global Models (GFS, CMCGLB, DWD, ECMWF, JMA, UKMO), 24+48h+72h forecasts

Regional 24h (12Z-12Z) Eq. Threat and Bias scores, Eta vs. NGM vs. GFS
Click on a ConUS region in the list under the map:

• APL (Appalachian Mountains)
• NEC (Northeast Coast)
• SEC (Southeast Coast)
• GMC (Gulf of Mexico Coast)
• MDW (Midwest)
• LMV (Lower Mississippi Valley)
• NPL (Northern Plains)
• SPL (Southern Plains)
• NMT (Northern Mountains)
• SMT (Southern Mountains)
• GRB (Great Basin)
• SWD (Southwest Desert)
• NWC (Northwest Coast)
• SWC (Southwest Coast)

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