NCEP/EMC Precipitation Skill Scores for Operational Models

Equitable threat and bias scores are available for the current month's forecasts, and for every month since January 1995.

Graphics of precipitation forecasts and analyses can be found here.

2008
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
2007
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
2006
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
2005
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
2004
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
2003
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
2002
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
2001
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
2000
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
1999
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
1998
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
1997
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
1996
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC
1995
JAN FEB MAR
APR MAY JUN
JUL AUG SEP
OCT NOV DEC


24h Forecast vs. Observed Precipitation Plots


Interactive web tool to plot scores (RTVS at NCEP)
(Currently only accessible from within the NCEP firewall)


About the 1 Sep 2008 changes
User guide for the precipitation verification package
Q&A About the Precipitation Scores
Historical QPF VSDB files: streamlining/consolidation
Mike Baldwin's 2001 documentation on the old verification package


emc.external.helpdesk@noaa.gov

NCEP/EMC Mesoscale Modeling Branch