| 156 HR MRF FCST FROM 00Z 1/20 | 132 HR MRF FCST FROM 00Z 1/21 |
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| 108 HR MRF FCST FROM 00Z 1/22 | 84 HR MRF FCST FROM 00Z 1/23 |
The MRF (and other medium-range forecasting models as well) repeatedly placed their emphasis on the second upper- level wave (approaching the east coast on Wednesday the 26th) spawning significant east coast cyclogenesis. Each run above predicts a significant east coast trough for Wednesday. Instead, since the wave the day before amplified so greatly, this wave ended up passing quickly and harmlessly out to sea.