Real-time NAM parallel test

Evaluation results for NAM parallel:

1. PRECIPITATION THREAT AND BIAS SCORES

2. UPPER AIR STATISTICS

3. NEAR-SURFACE STATISTICS


:

31 January - 9 February 2014 : Ops NAM vs NAMB vs NAMX parallel

The NAM parallel log with further details can be found here.


1. PRECIPITATION THREAT AND BIAS SCORES

CONUS,
24-84 hour forecasts

NAM parallel

Eastern US, 24-84 hour forecasts

NAM parallel

Western US, 24-84 hour forecasts

NAM parallel

CONUS, 24-h forecasts

NAM parallel

CONUS, 36-h forecasts

NAM parallel

CONUS, 48-h forecasts

NAM parallel

CONUS, 60-h forecasts

NAM parallel

CONUS, 72-h forecasts

NAM parallel

CONUS, 84-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Eastern U.S., 24-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Eastern U.S., 36-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Eastern U.S., 48-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Eastern U.S., 60-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Eastern U.S., 72-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Eastern U.S., 84-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Western U.S., 24-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Western U.S., 36-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Western U.S., 48-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Western U.S., 60-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Western U.S., 72-h forecasts

NAM parallel

Western U.S., 84-h forecasts

NAM parallel


2. UPPER AIR STATISTICS

12-84 h forecasts, 00z/12z combined

Parameter CONUS RMS Error CONUS Bias Error Alaska RMS Error Alaska Bias Error
Height X X X X
Temperature X X X X
Relative Humidity X X X X
Specific Humidity X X X X
Wind X X

24/48/72-h forecasts on one plot, 00z/12z combined

Parameter CONUS RMS Error CONUS Bias Error Alaska RMS Error Alaska Bias Error
Height X X X X
Temperature X X X X
Relative Humidity X X X X
Specific Humidity X X X X
Wind X X

FIRST GUESS UPPER AIR STATISTICS (00z/12z combined)

Parameter CONUS RMS Error CONUS Bias Error
Height X X
Temperature X X
Relative Humidity X X
Specific Humidity X X
Wind X


3. NEAR-SURFACE STATISTICS - Diurnal Observed vs Forecast Mean


2-M Temperature
Alaska (00z cycle)
Alaska (12z cycle)
Eastern US (00z cycle)
Eastern US (12z cycle)
Western US (00z cycle)
Western US (12z cycle)
2-M Dew Point T
Alaska (00z cycle)
Alaska (12z cycle)
Eastern US (00z cycle)
Eastern US (12z cycle)
Western US (00z cycle)
Western US (12z cycle)
2-M RH
Alaska (00z cycle)
Alaska (12z cycle)
Eastern US (00z cycle)
Eastern US (12z cycle)
Western US (00z cycle)
Western US (12z cycle)
10-M Wind Speed
Alaska (00z cycle)
Alaska (12z cycle)
Eastern US (00z cycle)
Eastern US (12z cycle)
Western US (00z cycle)
Western US (12z cycle)
Sea Level Pressure
CONUS (00z cycle)
CONUS (12z cycle)
Alaska (00z cycle)
Alaska (12z cycle)


4. NEAR-SURFACE STATISTICS : Diurnal RMS and Bias Error


2-M Temperature
Alaska (00z cycle)
Alaska (12z cycle)
Arctic Canada (00z cycle)
Arctic Canada (12z cycle)
CONUS (00z cycle)
CONUS (12z cycle)
Eastern CONUS (00z cycle)
Eastern CONUS (12z cycle)
Western CONUS (00z cycle)
Western CONUS (12z cycle)
2-M Dew Point T
Alaska (00z cycle)
Alaska (12z cycle)
Arctic Canada (00z cycle)
Arctic Canada (12z cycle)
CONUS (00z cycle)
CONUS (12z cycle)
Eastern CONUS (00z cycle)
Eastern CONUS (12z cycle)
Western CONUS (00z cycle)
Western CONUS (12z cycle)
2-M RH
Alaska (00z cycle)
Alaska (12z cycle)
Arctic Canada (00z cycle)
Arctic Canada (12z cycle)
CONUS (00z cycle)
CONUS (12z cycle)
Eastern CONUS (00z cycle)
Eastern CONUS (12z cycle)
Western CONUS (00z cycle)
Western CONUS (12z cycle)
10-M Wind Speed
Alaska (00z cycle)
Alaska (12z cycle)
Arctic Canada (00z cycle)
Arctic Canada (12z cycle)
CONUS (00z cycle)
CONUS (12z cycle)
Eastern CONUS (00z cycle)
Eastern CONUS (12z cycle)
Western CONUS (00z cycle)
Western CONUS (12z cycle)
Sea Level Pressure
Alaska (00z cycle)
Alaska (12z cycle)
Arctic Canada (00z cycle)
Arctic Canada (12z cycle)
CONUS (00z cycle)
CONUS (12z cycle)
Eastern CONUS (00z cycle)
Eastern CONUS (12z cycle)
Western CONUS (00z cycle)
Western CONUS (12z cycle)


DISCLAIMER

PRIVACY / COLLECTION OF INFORMATION STATEMENT