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NCEP OPERATIONAL SREF Deterministic Verification Statistics

Operational Stats for  Winter 06-07 
Operational Stats for Fall 2006 Latest Deterministic Stats
Operational Stats for Summer 2006 Latest Probabilistic Stats
Operational Stats for Spring 2006
Operational Stats for Winter 05-06
Operational Stats for Fall 2005 Parallel WRF Stats for 2005
Operational Stats for Summer 2005 Parallel Stats for PAR-04A Dec03/Jan-04
Operational Stats for Spring 2005 Parallel Stats for PAR-04B Feb-04

LATEST  ENSEMBLE MEAN VERIFICATION

Ensemble Mean Sfc variables & Precipitation Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable  RMSE/THTSCR BIAS 48 h Daily Time Series RMSE 48 h Daily Time Series BIAS
Precipitation 48h    60h  48h     60h  N/A N/A
2 M Temperature  Diurnal Avg  Diurnal Avg  48h Time Series 48h Time Series
10 M Winds  Diurnal Avg  Diurnal Avg 48h Time Series 48h Time Series
2 M RH
Diurnal Avg Diurnal Avg  48h Time Series
48h Time Series
MSLP
Diurnal Avg
Diurnal Avg
48h Time Series
48h Time Series

Ensemble Mean Upper Level (Raob) Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable  UPA RMSE  UPA BIAS  48 h 850 mb Daily Time Series
 48 h 500 mb DTS
Temperature 
48h 84 h 48 h 84 h rmse
bias rmse bias
Wind
48 h  84 h 48 h 84 h rmse bias rmse
bias
RH 48 h 84h 48 h 84 h rmse bias
rmse
bias
Height 48 h 84 h 48 h 84 h rmse bias
rmse
bias










 

LATEST Individual Parallel Ensemble Member Verification 

Eta-BMJ(3), Eta-KF(3), RSM-SAS(3), Eta-BMJsat(2), Eta-KFdet(2), RSM-RAS(2),WRF-NMM(3), WRF-ARW(3)

Surface variables & Precipitation Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable  RMSE/THTSCR BIAS 48 h Daily Time Series RMSE 48 h Daily Time Series BIAS
Precipitation 48h    60h  48h     60h  N/A N/A
2 M Temperature  Diurnal Avg  Diurnal Avg   48h Time Series 48h Time Series
10 M Winds  Diurnal Avg Diurnal Avg 48h Time Series 48h Time Series
2 M RH
Diurnal Avg Diurnal Avg   48h Time Series
48h Time Series
MSLP
Diurnal Avg
Diurnal Avg
48h Time Series
48h Time Series


Upper Level (Raob) Verification (09 Z Cycle) 


Variable  UPA RMSE  UPA Bias  
48 h 850 mb Daily Time Series
48 h 500 mb DTS
Temperature 
48h N/A 48 h N/A N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Wind
48 h  N/A 48 h N/A



RH 48 h N/A 48 h N/A



Height 48 h N/A 48 h N/A


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