EMC: SREF Deterministic Verification

NCEP OPERATIONAL SREF Deterministic Verification Statistics

Operational Stats for Winter 06-07
Operational Stats for Fall 2006	Latest Deterministic Stats
Operational Stats for Summer 2006	Latest Probabilistic Stats
Operational Stats for Spring 2006
Operational Stats for Winter 05-06
Operational Stats for Fall 2005	Parallel WRF Stats for 2005
Operational Stats for Summer 2005	Parallel Stats for PAR-04A Dec03/Jan-04
Operational Stats for Spring 2005	Parallel Stats for PAR-04B Feb-04

LATEST ENSEMBLE MEAN VERIFICATION

Ensemble Mean Sfc variables & Precipitation Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	RMSE/THTSCR	BIAS	48 h Daily Time Series RMSE	48 h Daily Time Series BIAS
Precipitation	48h 60h	48h 60h	N/A	N/A
2 M Temperature	Diurnal Avg	Diurnal Avg	48h Time Series	48h Time Series
10 M Winds	Diurnal Avg	Diurnal Avg	48h Time Series	48h Time Series
2 M RH	Diurnal Avg	Diurnal Avg	48h Time Series	48h Time Series
MSLP	Diurnal Avg	Diurnal Avg	48h Time Series	48h Time Series

Ensemble Mean Upper Level (Raob) Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	UPA RMSE		UPA BIAS		48 h 850 mb Daily Time Series		48 h 500 mb DTS
Temperature	48h	84 h	48 h	84 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
Wind	48 h	84 h	48 h	84 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
RH	48 h	84h	48 h	84 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
Height	48 h	84 h	48 h	84 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias

LATEST Individual Parallel Ensemble Member Verification

Eta-BMJ(3), Eta-KF(3), RSM-SAS(3), Eta-BMJsat(2), Eta-KFdet(2), RSM-RAS(2),WRF-NMM(3), WRF-ARW(3)

Surface variables & Precipitation Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	RMSE/THTSCR	BIAS	48 h Daily Time Series RMSE	48 h Daily Time Series BIAS
Precipitation	48h 60h	48h 60h	N/A	N/A
2 M Temperature	Diurnal Avg	Diurnal Avg	48h Time Series	48h Time Series
10 M Winds	Diurnal Avg	Diurnal Avg	48h Time Series	48h Time Series
2 M RH	Diurnal Avg	Diurnal Avg	48h Time Series	48h Time Series
MSLP	Diurnal Avg	Diurnal Avg	48h Time Series	48h Time Series

Upper Level (Raob) Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	UPA RMSE		UPA Bias		48 h 850 mb Daily Time Series		48 h 500 mb DTS
Temperature	48h	N/A	48 h	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Wind	48 h	N/A	48 h	N/A
RH	48 h	N/A	48 h	N/A
Height	48 h	N/A	48 h	N/A

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