NCEP/EMC 5-member RSM Short-Range Ensembles

This page contains the plots for the 5-member RSM forecast.
In the mean and spread plots, the color fills are the spread
(standard deviation) among the forecasts, and the contours represent
the ensemble mean. Comments on this site, please email to
Jun.Du@noaa.gov. Thanks!

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For the Eta ensemble, click here.
For the Eta/RSM combined ensemble, click here.
For historical RSM ensemble runs, click here.

The following is the forecast initialized at 12 UTC 24 JAN 2000.

Mean and Spread
Sea-level pressure	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
850 mb temperature	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
850 mb wind	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
700-mb relative humidity	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
500-mb hgt/vort	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
250-mb hgt/vort	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
250 mb wind	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
CAPE	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
LI	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
CIN	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
12-hr precip	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR

Spaghetti Diagrams
Sea-level pressure
992 mb	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
1000 mb	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
1008 mb	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
1016 mb	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
500-mb height
5580 m	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
5640 m	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
5700 m	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
5760 m	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
5820 m	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
5880 m	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
850-mb temperature
0 deg C	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
5 deg C	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
10 deg C	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
15 deg C	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
Convective Available Potential Energy
1000 J/kg	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
2000 J/kg	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
3000 J/kg	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
4000 J/kg	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
12-hr precip
0.1 inch	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
0.25 inch	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
0.5 inch	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
1.0 inch	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
2.0 inch	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR

Probability Diagrams
Convective Available Potential Energy
> 1000 J/kg	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
> 2000 J/kg	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
> 3000 J/kg	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
> 4000 J/kg	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
Lifted Index
< 0 K	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
< -4 K	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
< -8 K	00HR	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
12-hr precip
> 0.1 inch	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
> 0.25 inch	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
> 0.5 inch	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
> 1.0 inch	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR
> 2.0 inch	12HR	24HR	36HR	48HR