Probability Chart: CAPE > 500 J/kg (06Z 32 km ETA, RSM and KFETA Combined 15 members)
Transition to ......
Today's 18z run
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SREF system and product
ETA/RSM/KFETA COMbined (15 members)
Mean & Spread Spaghetti Probability
ETA (5 members)
Mean & Spread Spaghetti Probability
RSM (5 members)
Mean & Spread Spaghetti Probability
KFETA(5 members)
Mean & Spread Spaghetti Probability
RUC (5 members)
Mean & Spread Spaghetti Probability
Field
2m T(F) > 75 80 85 90 100
2m Td(F) > 50 60 70 80 90
10m Wind(nots)> 15 20 25 34 50
CAPE(J/kg) > 500 1000 2000 3000 4000
LI (K)
less than
0 -4 -8    
03h precip(in) > 0.1 0.25 0.5 1.0 2.0
06h precip(in) > 0.1 0.25 0.5 1.0 2.0
12h precip(in) > 0.1 0.25 0.5 1.0 2.0
24h precip(in) > 0.1 0.25 0.5 1.0 2.0
Precip Type
(3 hr)
Rain Frz
Rain
Snow    
03h snow(in) > 1.0 2.5 5.0 10.0 20.0
06h snow(in) > 1.0 2.5 5.0 10.0 20.0
12h snow(in) > 1.0 2.5 5.0 10.0 20.0
24h snow(in) > 1.0 2.5 5.0 10.0 20.0
Operational 12km ETA
06Z 18Z