EMC: Mesoscale Modeling Branch

NCEP Operational SREF FVS Verification Statistics (Winter 2004-2005)

Operational Stats for Summer 2005	Parallel WRF Stats for 2005
Operational Stats for Spring 2005
Operational Stats for Winter 04-05	Parallel Stats for PAR-04A Dec03/Jan-04
	Parallel Stats for PAR-04B Feb-04

ENSEMBLE MEAN PLOTS

Ensemble Mean Sfc variables & Precipitation (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	RMSE/THTSCR	Bias	48 hDaily Time Series RMSE	48 h Daily Time Series Bias
Precipitation	24h 48h	24h 48h	N/A	N/A
2 M Temperature	Avg Time series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h
10 M Winds	Avg Time Series	Avg Time series	48h	48h
2 M RH	Avg Time Series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h
MSLP	Avg Time Series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h

Ensemble Mean Upper Level (Raob) Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	RMSE		Bias		48 h 850 mb Daily Time Series		48 h 500 mb DTS
Temperature	24h	48 h	24 h	48 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
Wind	24 h	48 h	24 h	48 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
RH	24 h	48 h	24 h	48 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
Height	24 h	48 h	24 h	48 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias

Individual Operational Ensemble Members

Eta-BMJ(3), Eta-KF(3), RSM-SAS(3), Eta-BMJsat(2), Eta-KFdet(2), RSM-RAS(2)

Surface variables & Precipitation (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	RMSE/THTSCR	Bias	48 h Daily Time Series RMSE	48 h Daily Time Series Bias
Precipitation	24h 48h	24h 48h	N/A	N/A
2 M Temperature	Avg Time series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h
10 M Winds	Avg Time Series	Avg Time series	48h	48h
2 M RH	Avg Time Series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h
MSLP	Avg Time Series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h

Upper Level (Raob) Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	RMSE		Bias		48 h 850 mb Daily Time Series		48 h 500 mb DTS
Temperature	24h	48 h	24 h	48 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
Wind	24 h	48 h	24 h	48 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
RH	24 h	48 h	24 h	48 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
Height	24 h	48 h	24 h	48 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias


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