EMC: Mesoscale Modeling Branch

NCEP FALL 2005 SREF FVS Verification Statistics

Operational Stats for Fall 2005	Parallel WRF Stats for 2005
Operational Stats for Summer 2005
Operational Stats for Spring 2005
Operational Stats for Winter 04-05	Parallel Stats for PAR-04A Dec03/Jan-04
	Parallel Stats for PAR-04B Feb-04

ENSEMBLE MEAN PLOTS

Ensemble Mean Sfc variables & Precipitation (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	RMSE/THTSCR	Bias	48 hDaily Time Series RMSE	48 h Daily Time Series Bias
Precipitation	48h 60h	48h 60h	N/A	N/A
2 M Temperature	Avg Time series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h
10 M Winds	Avg Time Series	Avg Time series	48h	48h
2 M RH	Avg Time Series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h
MSLP	Avg Time Series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h

Ensemble Mean Upper Level (Raob) Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	RMSE		Bias		48 h 850 mb Daily Time Series		48 h 500 mb DTS
Temperature	48h	60 h	48 h	60 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
Wind	48 h	60 h	48 h	60 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
RH	48 h	60 h	48 h	60 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
Height	48 h	60 h	48 h	60 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias

Individual Parallel Ensemble Members

Eta-BMJ(3), Eta-KF(3), RSM-SAS(3), Eta-BMJsat(2), Eta-KFdet(2), RSM-RAS(2)

Surface variables & Precipitation (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	RMSE/THTSCR	Bias	48 h Daily Time Series RMSE	48 h Daily Time Series Bias
Precipitation	48h 60h	48h 60h	N/A	N/A
2 M Temperature	Avg Time series	Avg Time Series	48h	60h
10 M Winds	Avg Time Series	Avg Time series	48h	48h
2 M RH	Avg Time Series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h
MSLP	Avg Time Series	Avg Time Series	48h	48h

Upper Level (Raob) Verification (09 Z Cycle)


Variable	RMSE		Bias		48 h 850 mb Daily Time Series		48 h 500 mb DTS
Temperature	48h	60 h	48 h	60 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
Wind	48 h	60 h	48 h	60 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
RH	48 h	60 h	48 h	60 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias
Height	48 h	60 h	48 h	60 h	rmse	bias	rmse	bias


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