Notes for Global Ensemble model evaluation:

ENS ---> Ensemble mean(14/20 members for NCEP, 10m from ECMWF and 16m from CMC) ---> Number of ensemble mean
GFS ---> NCEP operational forecast,
CTL ---> Ensemble control forecast,
SPR ---> Ensemble spread,

D-O ---> Die-off, E-G ---> Error Growth,

500 hPa Height AC Scores and RMS Errors (NCEP)
NH AC	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	die-off
SH AC	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	die-off
NH RMS	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	err-grow
SH RMS	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	err-grow

500 hPa Height Talagrand Distribution and Outliers (NCEP)
NH	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	Outliers	Outliers(t+1)
SH	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	Outliers	Outliers(t+1)

500 hPa Height AC Scores and RMS Errors (ECMWF)
NH AC	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	die-off
SH AC	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	die-off
NH RMS	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	err-grow
SH RMS	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	err-grow

500 hPa Height AC Scores and RMS Errors (MSC)
NH AC	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	die-off
SH AC	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	die-off
NH RMS	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	err-grow
SH RMS	1-day	2-day	3-day	4-day	5-day	6-day	7-day	8-day	err-grow

Click here to go to gif files directory for more maps.

Go Back to Ensemble Home Page

Go Back to EMC Home Page