Notes for 4 cycles Global Ensemble model evaluation:

GFS ---> NCEP high resolution forecast
CTL ---> NCEP ensemble control forecast
D-O ---> Die-off,
E-G ---> Error Growth,

500 hPa Height

AC Scores

RMS Error

Ens. Spread

M&Y

D3

D5

D8

D-O

D-O

D3

D5

D8

D-O

D-O

D3

D5

D8

D10

spr. 2004 (NH)

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

spr. 2004 (SH)

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Click here to go to gif files directory for more maps.

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