NCEP GEFS yearly improvement/performence (2001-?)

Probabilistic scores: ROC, EV, RPSS and BSS

Based on 10 ensemble members from 0000UTC

PROB
RPSS
ROC
EV
BSS
N. H.
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
S. H.
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

1. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS10 monthly average since 1999 (NH 500hPa height d-5 PAC and RMS)

2. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS10 monthly average since 1999 (NH 500hPa height d-7 PAC and RMS)

3. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS10 monthly average since 1999 (SH 500hPa height d-5 PAC and RMS)

4. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS10 monthly average since 1999 (SH 500hPa height d-7 PAC and RMS)

5. NCEP GEFS monthly average probabilistic scores since 1999 (NH 500hPa height d-5 RPSS and EV)


1. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS comparison - Year 2002-2003 (NH 500hPa height PAC)

2. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS comparison - Year 2003-2004 (NH 500hPa height PAC)

3. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS comparison - Year 2004-2005 (NH 500hPa height PAC)

4. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS comparison - Year 2005-2006 (NH 500hPa height PAC)

5. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS comparison - Year 2006-2007 (NH 500hPa height PAC)

6. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS comparison - Year 2007-2008 (NH 500hPa height PAC)

7. NCEP GFS/CTL/GEFS comparison - Year 2008-2009 (NH 500hPa height PAC)