Global Ensemble Forecast (GEFS) evaluation for T574 resolution :


 
Sandy Period, Oct. 21-31, 2012
STTP Modification Tests (Oo Er Eu Ev)
Reducing later stage STTP, PARM2(2)=0.03,0.085,1.105
with the gfs model version r37800 and its modified version
Probabilistic Forecast

 
Sandy Period, Oct. 21-31, 2012
STTP Modification Tests (Oo Er Et E7)
Comparing the modified formula of global rescaling factor (rp1)
with the gfs model version r37800/38735 and its modified version
Probabilistic Forecast

 
Sandy Period, Oct. 21-31, 2012
STTP Modification Tests (Oo Er Eu E7)
Comparing the modified formula of global rescaling factor (rp1)
with the gfs model version r37800/38735 and its modified version
Probabilistic Forecast

 
Sandy Period, Oct. 21-31, 2012
STTP Modification Tests (Oo Er Et E0)
Comparing the modified formula of global rescaling factor (rp1)
with the gfs model version r37800 and its modified version
Probabilistic Forecast

 
Sandy Period, Oct. 21-31, 2012
STTP Modification Tests (Oo Er E7 E0)
Comparing the modified formula of global rescaling factor (rp1)
with the gfs model version r37800 and its modified version
Probabilistic Forecast

 
STTP TEST 2013091200
STTP Modification Tests (Oo Fv Fw Fu)
Reduce tropical scaling factor after 150h, and creduce dP perturbations (rcwsp1)
with the gfs model version r42459 and parallel setting (not shown)
Probabilistic Forecast

 
GFS Downstream test Oct. 21, 2014
Probabilistic Forecast

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