Global Ensemble Forecast (GEFS) evaluation for T574 SLG tests:

L42 vs. L64 comparison, A Clear Test

( Black: Oo, Production on CCS, T254/190L42 )

( Red: Pb=Nj, WCOSS T574L64SL, gfs v32556, STTP on, and 1.3 times amplified over NH )

(Init files from tkLc, mask factor 0.88)

( Green: Pd, same as Pb except init files from tkLc (mask factor 1.00) )

( Blue: Yb, WCOSS T574L42SL, Init from Dick's cycle rwcn, fcst as in Pb )

(Init files from rwch, mask factor 1.00)

( Comparing Yb with Pd, slight degradation for week 2 )


 
500 hPa Height Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
NA ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST

 
1000 hPa Height Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
NA ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST

 
850 hPa Temperature Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
NA ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST

 
2 Meters Temperature Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
NA ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST

 
10 Meters Wind (U) Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
NA ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST

 
10 Meters Wind (V) Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST
NA ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC HIST

 
850 hPa Wind (U) Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
NA ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
850 hPa Wind (V) Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
NA ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
250 hPa Wind (U) Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
NA ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
250 hPa Wind (V) Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
NA ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

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