Global Ensemble Forecast (GEFS) evaluation for 2011 Implementation:

(T190L28 .vs. T254/190L42PARAET1.2 .vs. T254/190L42PARA_ET1.2+RELOC+STTP1)

Black: GEFS =T190L28

( PARA =T254/190L42ET1.2

)

Red RLOC =PARA + RELOC +STTP1, DF at 00h in cycling

Green As RLOC but DF 0t 00h also in forecast (consistant, 00h DF)

Blue As RLOC but No DF at 00h (consistant, NO 00h DF, as in operation)
 
500 hPa Height Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
1000 hPa Height Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
850 hPa Temperature Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
2 Meters Temperature Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
10 Meters Wind (U) Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
10 Meters Wind (V) Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

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