Global Ensemble Forecast (GEFS) evaluation for 2011 Implementation:

(T190L28 .vs. T254/190L42PARAET1.2 .vs. T254/190L42PARA_ET1.2+RELOC+STTP1)

Black: GEFS =T190L28

( PARA =T254/190L42ET1.2

)

Red RLOC =PARA + RELOC +STTP1, DF at 00h in cycling

Green As RLOC but DF at 00h also in forecast (consistant, 00h DF)
 
500 hPa Height Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
1000 hPa Height Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
850 hPa Temperature Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
2 Meters Temperature Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
10 Meters Wind (U) Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

 
10 Meters Wind (V) Scores
NH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
SH ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC
TROP ROC EV RPSS BSS CRP CRPS RMS/SPRD ERR/ABSE PAC

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