September-November 2006
Area-averaged errors
Zonal means
LONGITUDE-PRESSURE CROSS-SECTIONS
Cross-sections of geopotential height
Cross-sections of temperature
Cross-sections of horizontal divergence
Equatorial cross-sections
REGIONAL ERRORS
Regional height errors
Regional temperature errors
Regional zonal wind errors
Regional wind errors
Regional relative humidity errors
Regional vertical velocity errors
Regional horizontal divergence errors
MODEL PHYSICS
PRECIPITATION
Precipitation
United States Precipitation
Evaporation
Sensible Heat
2 Meter and Skin Temperature
Precipitable Water
CLOUDS
Low clouds
Middle clouds
High clouds
Total cloud cover
Convective cloud cover
Boundary layer cloud cover
Zonal sfc stress
Meridional sfc stress
Zonal 10m wind
Meridional 10m wind
10m wind speed
10m wind horizontal divergence
Outgoing longwave radiation at the top of the atmosphere
Downward shortwave radiation at the surface
Upward shortwave radiation at the surface
Net shortwave radiation at the surface
Downward longwave radiation at the surface
Upward longwave radiation at the surface
Net longwave radiation at the surface
Net radiation at the surface
Net heat flux at the surface
AREA-AVERAGED ERRORS verified against global analyses
ZONAL MEAN DRIFTS IN HEIGHT verified against global analyses
AREA-AVERAGED DRIFTS IN HEIGHT verified against global analyses
ZONAL MEAN DRIFTS IN TEMPERATURE verified against global analyses
AREA-AVERAGED DRIFTS IN TEMPERATURE verified against global analyses
ZONAL MEAN FIELDS verified against global analyses
| HEIGHT |
TEMPERATURE |
ZONAL WIND |
MERID WIND |
REL HUMID |
VERT MOTION |
HORIZ DIV |
|
|
anl, 5dy means |
anl, 1dy means |
|
anl, 1dy means |
anl, 1dy means |
|
|
|
6hr mean |
|
6hr mean |
|
|
anl, 15dy means |
3dy, 5dy means |
|
3dy, 5dy means |
3dy, 5dy means |
|
|
|
10dy, 15dy means |
anl, 15dy means |
10dy, 15dy means |
anl, 15dy means |
| 6 hr error |
6 hr error |
6 hr error |
6 hr error |
6hr error |
6hr error |
| 1, 3 dy error |
1, 3 dy error |
1, 3 dy error |
1, 3 dy error |
1, 3 dy error |
1, 3 dy error |
1, 3 dy error |
| 5, 7 dy error |
5, 7 dy error |
5 dy error |
5 dy error |
5 dy error |
5 dy error |
5 dy error |
| 10, 15 dy error |
10, 15 dy error |
10, 15 dy error |
10, 15 dy error |
10, 15 dy error |
10, 15 dy error |
10, 15 dy error |
LONGITUDE-PRESSURE CROSS-SECTIONS OF ERRORS verified against global analyses
GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHT
TEMPERATURE
| 60N |
45N |
30N |
EQUATOR |
30S |
60S |
| anl,15dy mean |
anl,15dy mean |
anl,15dy mean |
anl,15dy mean |
anl,15dy mean |
anl,15dy mean |
| 1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
| 5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
HORIZONTAL DIVERGENCE
| 25N |
5N |
10S |
30S |
| anl,1dy mean |
anl,1dy mean |
anl,1dy mean |
anl,1dy mean |
| 3,5dy mean |
3,5dy mean |
3,5dy mean |
3,5dy mean |
| 10,15dy mean |
10,15dy mean |
10,15dy mean |
10,15dy mean |
| 1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
| 5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
EQUATOR
| ZONAL WIND |
MERID WIND |
REL HUMID |
VERT VELOC |
| anl,5dy mean |
anl,5dy mean |
|
anl,1dy mean |
|
6hr mean |
|
6hr mean |
|
|
|
3,5dy mean |
| anl,15dy mean |
anl,15dy mean |
anl,15dy mean |
10dy,15dy mean |
| 6hr error |
6hr error |
6hr error |
6hr error |
| 1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
| 5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
15N
| ZONAL WIND |
MERID WIND |
| anl,7dy mean |
anl,7dy mean |
| anl,15dy mean |
anl,15dy mean |
| 1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
| 5, 7 dy error |
5, 7 dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
REGIONAL ERRORS verified against global analyses
GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHT
| 1000 mb |
500 mb |
250 mb |
| anl,15dy fcst |
anl,15dy fcst |
anl,15dy fcst |
| 6hr error |
6hr error |
6hr error |
| 1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
| 5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
TEMPERATURE
| 1000 mb |
925 mb |
850 mb |
700 mb |
500 mb |
| anl,15dy fcst |
|
anl,15dy fcst |
|
anl,15dy fcst |
| 6hr error |
6hr error |
6hr error |
6hr error |
6hr error |
| 1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
| 5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
| 300 mb |
200 mb |
100 mb |
50 mb |
10 mb |
| 6hr error |
6hr error |
6hr error |
6hr error |
6hr error |
| 1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
| 5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
ZONAL WIND
REGIONAL NORTHERN HEMISPHERE ERRORS verified against global analyses
GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHT
| 1000 mb |
500 mb |
250 mb |
| anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
| 3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
| 10,15dy fcst |
10,15dy fcst |
10,15dy fcst |
| 1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
| 5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
TEMPERATURE
| 1000 mb |
925 mb |
850 mb |
700 mb |
500 mb |
| anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
| 3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
| 10,15dy fcst |
10,15dy fcst |
10,15dy fcst |
10,15dy fcst |
10,15dy fcst |
| 1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
| 5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
5,7dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
| 300 mb |
200 mb |
100 mb |
50 mb |
10 mb |
| 1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
1,3dy error |
| 5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
ZONAL WIND
| 850 mb |
250 mb |
150 mb |
| anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
| 3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
| 10,15dy fcst |
10,15dy fcst |
10,15dy fcst |
| 1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
| 5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
WIND MAGNITUDE
VECTOR WIND
WIND STREAMFUNCTION
RELATIVE HUMIDITY
| 925 mb |
850 mb |
400 mb |
150 mb |
| anl,15dy fcst |
anl,15dy fcst |
anl,15dy fcst |
anl,15dy fcst |
| 1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
| 5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
VERTICAL VELOCITY
| 850 mb |
500 mb |
| anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
| 3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
| 10dy,15dy fcst |
10dy,15dy fcst |
| 1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
| 5dy error |
5dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
HORIZONTAL DIVERGENCE
| 925 mb |
200 mb |
150 mb |
| anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
anl,1dy fcst |
| 3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
3,5dy fcst |
| anl,15dy fcst |
anl,15dy fcst |
anl,15dy fcst |
| 1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
1dy,3dy error |
| 5dy error |
5dy error |
5dy error |
| 10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
10,15dy error |
TRANSIENT EDDY KINETIC ENERGY
| zonal mean |
850 mb |
200 mb |
| anl, 5dy fcst |
anl, 5dy fcst |
anl, 5dy fcst |
| 10, 15dy fcst |
10, 15dy fcst |
10, 15dy fcst |
| 6hr fcst errors |
6hr fcst errors |
6hr fcst errors |
| 1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
| 5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
| 8dy, 10dy fcst errors |
8dy, 10dy fcst errors |
8dy, 10dy fcst errors |
| 15dy fcst errors |
15dy fcst errors |
15dy fcst errors |
Extratropical Northern Hemisphere
| 850 mb |
200 mb |
| anl, 5dy fcst |
anl, 5dy fcst |
| 10, 15dy fcst |
10, 15dy fcst |
| 1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
| 5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
| 8dy, 10dy fcst errors |
8dy, 10dy fcst errors |
| 15dy fcst errors |
15dy fcst errors |
TRANSIENT EDDY KINETIC ENERGY IN THE TROPICS
| zonal mean |
850 mb |
200 mb |
equator |
| anl, 5dy fcst |
anl, 5dy fcst |
anl, 5dy fcst |
anl, 5dy fcst |
| 6hr fcst errors |
6hr fcst errors |
6hr fcst errors |
6hr fcst |
| 1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
1dy, 3dy fcst |
| 5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
5dy, 7dy fcst |
TRANSIENT EDDY MERIDIONAL HEAT FLUX
| zonal mean |
850 mb |
| anl, 5dy fcst |
anl, 5dy fcst |
| 10, 15dy fcst |
10, 15dy fcst |
| 6hr fcst errors |
6hr fcst errors |
| 1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
| 5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
| 8dy, 10dy fcst errors |
8dy, 10dy fcst errors |
| 15dy fcst errors |
15dy fcst errors |
Extratropical Northern Hemisphere
TRANSIENT EDDY POLEWARD FLUX OF ZONAL MOMENTUM
| zonal mean |
200 mb |
| anl, 5dy fcst |
anl, 5dy fcst |
| 10, 15dy fcst |
10, 15dy fcst |
| 6hr fcst errors |
6hr fcst errors |
| 1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
1dy, 3dy fcst errors |
| 5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
5dy, 7dy fcst errors |
| 8dy, 10dy fcst errors |
8dy, 10dy fcst errors |
| 15dy fcst errors |
15dy fcst errors |
RMS WIND ERROR
| NORMALIZED |
AREA-AVERAGED CLOUD LIQUID WATER DRIFTS
MODEL PHYSICS
GLOBAL MEAN DRIFTS
AREA MEAN DRIFTS
ZONAL MEAN DRIFTS
PRECIPITATION
| znl mean precip |
0-6hr,0-24hr |
dy1-firstguess,dy3-fg |
| znl mean land, ocean |
48-72hr,96-120hr |
dy5-fg,dy10-fg |
| znl mean opi estimate |
216-240hr,336-360hr |
dy15-fg |
| znl mean opi estimate |
0-6hr, comb opi estimate |
0-6hr,0-24 hr minus comb opi estimate |
|
2-3d,4-5d minus comb opi estimate |
9-10d, 10-15d minus comb opi estimate |
UNITED STATES PRECIPITATION
EVAPORATION
SENSIBLE HEAT
2 METER AND SKIN TEMPERATURE
PRECIPITABLE WATER
GLOBAL MEAN CLOUDS
LOW CLOUDS
MIDDLE CLOUDS
HIGH CLOUDS
TOTAL CLOUD COVER
CONVECTIVE CLOUD COVER
BOUNDARY LAYER CLOUD COVER
ZONAL SURFACE STRESS
MERIDIONAL SURFACE STRESS
ZONAL 10-M WIND
MERIDIONAL 10-M WIND
10-M WIND SPEED
10-M WIND HORIZONTAL DIVERGENCE
OUTGOING LONGWAVE RADIATION AT THE TOP OF THE ATMOSPHERE
DOWNWARD SHORTWAVE RADIATION AT THE SURFACE
UPWARD SHORTWAVE RADIATION AT THE SURFACE
NET SHORTWAVE RADIATION AT THE SURFACE
DOWNWARD LONGWAVE RADIATION AT THE SURFACE
UPWARD LONGWAVE RADIATION AT THE SURFACE
NET LONGWAVE RADIATION AT THE SURFACE
NET RADIATION AT THE SURFACE
NET HEAT FLUX AT THE SURFACE