ensemble initiated at:99020500 analysis time: 99020700 center of verification region: 122.5W 40.N verification time: +24h dropsonde lon. lat. spread 1 196.20 23.60 0.54 2 195.10 25.30 0.55 3 194.10 26.90 0.63 4 193.10 28.60 0.76 5 192.10 30.30 0.93 6 191.10 32.00 1.21 7 190.00 33.70 1.78 8 189.00 35.30 2.27 9 188.30 36.60 2.47 10 189.00 39.00 2.50 11 190.00 41.00 2.59 12 191.00 43.00 3.07 13 192.00 44.90 4.09 14 194.00 43.30 3.06 15 196.00 41.50 2.29 16 198.00 39.70 2.16 17 200.00 38.00 2.45 18 200.40 35.70 2.05 19 200.90 33.40 1.29 20 201.30 31.10 0.81 21 201.80 28.90 0.62 22 202.20 26.60 0.54 spread(0) spread(24) AEP max 4.17 5.18 1.24 rms 2.04 3.85 1.88 avr 1.75 3.70 2.11