ensemble initiated at:99020400 analysis time: 99020600 center of verification region: 125.W 42.5N verification time: +24h dropsonde lon. lat. spread 1 271.30 27.20 0.95 2 207.70 55.80 2.17 3 205.90 54.10 1.66 4 204.10 52.40 2.17 5 202.20 50.70 3.81 6 200.40 49.10 3.84 7 198.60 47.40 2.52 8 196.80 45.70 2.21 9 195.10 44.00 1.94 10 197.60 42.80 2.05 11 200.20 41.60 1.96 12 205.40 39.20 2.03 13 207.90 38.00 2.21 14 207.30 35.70 1.92 15 206.80 34.00 1.60 16 206.20 32.00 1.19 17 205.60 30.00 0.79 18 205.00 28.00 0.53 spread(0) spread(24) AEP max 5.21 4.24 0.81 rms 2.25 3.22 1.43 avr 2.03 3.16 1.56