ensemble initiated at:99012000 analysis time: 99012200 center of verification region: 77.5W 40.N verification time: +48h dropsonde lon. lat. spread 1 200.00 54.00 1.55 2 198.00 54.60 1.69 3 196.00 55.20 1.87 4 191.00 55.80 3.04 5 189.00 56.40 3.62 6 187.00 57.00 4.10 7 185.70 55.40 5.32 8 184.40 53.70 5.74 9 183.00 52.00 5.44 10 184.40 50.60 5.04 11 185.70 49.30 4.50 12 187.00 48.00 3.79 13 189.00 48.20 3.21 14 191.00 48.40 2.50 15 193.00 48.60 1.73 16 195.00 48.80 0.99 17 197.00 49.00 1.10 18 197.00 33.00 0.84 19 195.00 35.00 0.76 20 197.00 37.00 0.82 21 199.00 39.00 1.00 22 201.00 41.00 1.48 23 203.00 43.00 2.02 24 205.00 45.00 1.87 25 208.00 43.90 2.12 26 211.00 42.80 2.15 27 214.00 41.70 2.10 28 217.00 40.60 2.55 29 220.00 39.50 3.55 30 222.50 38.25 3.46 31 225.00 37.00 3.01 32 225.00 37.00 3.01 33 226.00 38.30 3.80 34 227.00 39.60 4.56 35 228.00 41.00 4.80 36 229.00 39.00 4.52 spread(0) spread(48) AEP max 5.98 5.26 0.94 rms 3.01 3.94 1.14 avr 2.61 3.83 1.21