ensemble initiated at:99011400 analysis time: 99011700 center of verification region: 125.W 42.5N verification time: +24h dropsonde lon. lat. spread 1 202.50 26.00 1.18 2 203.00 28.00 1.55 3 203.50 30.00 1.91 4 202.60 31.60 2.59 5 201.80 33.30 3.43 6 201.00 35.00 4.45 7 199.20 35.30 5.13 8 197.40 35.60 5.70 9 195.50 36.00 5.74 10 194.40 34.60 4.85 11 192.20 33.30 2.98 12 192.00 32.00 2.18 13 192.70 30.50 1.56 14 193.40 29.00 1.20 15 194.00 27.50 0.94 16 197.00 26.00 0.96 17 199.00 24.00 0.87 spread(0) spread(24) AEP max 6.54 6.69 1.02 rms 3.05 4.30 1.41 avr 2.48 4.11 1.65