OPS K,pgs1pagedoc2nearest-ileafileafUU . UDpage(if (not (fboundp 'ileaf::r)) (defun ileaf::r (data) (tell *load-object* mid:put-data 'ileaf::saved-data data)))(ileaf::r '(:pup-cmpn-names ("refer" "texti" "text" "section" "justnow" "justifieds" "micro:ftnote" "justified" "centered" "micro:caption" "authors" "institute")) )pga1<y:f3fMfon1wst:helvps10fon1wst:helvps9fon1wst:helvps11fon1wst:helvps9ifon1wst:timsps12|fon1sym:clas12|fon1wst:timsps12fon1sym:clas12fon1 wst:timsps10fon1 wst:helvps12fon1 wst:helvps10fon1 wst:helvps14bfon1 wst:timsps12bfon1wst:timsps10|fon1wst:helvps14b|fon1wst:helvps14.3b|fon1wst:helvps11|fon1wst:timsps10|fon1wst:helvps11b|fon1wst:timsps10.2|fon1wst:helvps12fon1wst:helvps12bfon1wst:helvps12fon1wst:helvps12fon1wst:helvps12ifon1wst:helvps12i|fon1wst:helvps12.2i|fon1wst:helvps12|fon1wst:helvps12.2|fon1wst:helvps12 fon1wst:helvps12bi fon1 wst:helvps12bi fon1!wst:helvps12bi|fon1"wst:helvps12.2bi|fon1#wst:helvps12ifon1$wst:dutch10|fon1%wst:dutch10i|fon1&wst:dutch6i|fon1'wst:dutch6|fon1(wst:dutch6.1|fon1)wst:dutch10.2i|fon1*eqm:bsmth10|fon1+eqm:bsmth10.2|fon1,wst:helvps12i|fon1-wst:helvps12|fon1.wst:helvps12.2|fon1/wst:helvps9i|fon10wst:helvps9.2i|fon11wst:helvps12.2i|fon12eqm:bsmth12|fon13eqm:bsmth12.2|fon14wst:helvps12ifon15wst:helvps9|fon16wst:helvps10|fon17wst:helvps10.2|fon18wst:helvps9bi|fon19wst:helvps9.2bi|fon1:wst:helvps9b|fon1;wst:helvps9.2b|fon1wst:helvps24b|fon1?wst:helvps24.5b|fon1@wst:helvps12bifon1Awst:timsps12fon1Bwst:timsps12ifon1Cwst:dutch12ifon1Dwst:helvps12.2ifon1Ewst:helvps12.2 fon1Fwst:helvps12.2bi fon1Gwst:helvps12.2bi fon1Hwst:dutch12.2ifon1Iwst:helvps12.2bifon1Jwst:helvps12.2ifon1Kwst:timsps12.2ifon1Lwst:helvps12.2fon1Mwst:helvps12.2fon1Nwst:helvps10.2fon1Owst:helvps10.2fon1Pwst:helvps11.2fon1Qwst:helvps12.2bfon1Rwst:helvps12.2fon1Swst:helvps12.2fon1Twst:helvps12.2ifon1Uwst:timsps12.2fon1Vwst:helvps11.2b|fon1Wwst:helvps9.2|clr1 @1 a I  HH pat1 ((nn((((nn((((nn((nn  xx xx``00 ``00  00`` 00``  xx<<xx<< < uUW@ 3mtr1nes1efr1+@%pageP+dia2x g E0.26179938779914941110@@@xnes1efr1! `inline!dia2x g E0.26179938779914941110@@@xnes1efr1/%fullpage/dia2x g E0.26179938779914941110@@@xnes18efr1:ćv8footnote:unnumbered):dia2 g T  Gt@-nes1>com32 Jmicro:ftnote  2>E0.26179938779914941110@@@8ftn1{aut1 EiXYY2e4vrnes1Sefr18ćv8footnote:numbered)8dia2 g T  Dt@-nes1[com3O Jmicro:ftnote  ref1 EiXYY2e4vr . O[E0.26179938779914941110@@@S{nes1efr1/ %floatingPR/dia2x g E0.26179938779914941110@@@xnes1efr1. y Following Anchor.dia2 g E0.2617993877991494111.0000002365559340@@@nes1Jefr1"E W Auto"dia2 g Jftn1aut1 uO61v99wd20nes1^efr16ćyfootnote:number)6dia2 g ^mtr1tbl1N14x2<<rowNmtr1com3S*rownes1efr1 A< dia2g g T  nes1;com3/ SJ14x2:cell/;gnes1efr1 A< dia2g g T  nes1;com3/ SJ14x2:cell/;gSmtr1tbx1mtr1ndo1w N timeline   v  wndo1 N  text2-2-T  &i--nes1Gcom3;jmicro:captionAnalysis;Gndo1 N perturb44a ˀ@4iԛ4ndo1~ N perticfgfge fg~ndo1 N pertgga gg Jgggndo1 N analt@nnnnnwst:helvps14bxmtr1hft1nes1efr1dia2 g t@nnnnnwst:helvps11t<@nnnnnwst:helvps11ty@nnnnnwst:helvps11nes1befr1dia25 g ty:'@nnnnnwst:timsps10t<:'@nnnnnwst:timsps10t:'@nnnnnwst:timsps10t;:'@nnnnnwst:helvps11bE0.26179938779914941110@@@5bnes1fefr1dia29 g ty@nnnnnwst:timsps10t<@nnnnnwst:timsps10t@nnnnnwst:timsps10t5 @nnnnnwst:helvps11bE0.26179938779914941110@@@9fcom3 v `texti  nes1 7efr1. PyAuto.dia2 g cY#~D~ wst:helvps907(cv,15,3)(ct,3)(cf,3,0,200)(cg,67)(cm,360000,150000,180000,100000)(cj,13335,-13335)(cl,2,40001,0,40001,2,26668)(cx,350000)(cn,1,2)(cr,0.00,1.00,-1.00,1.00)(ch,0.25,0.10)(cD,,-7.32,0.09,-8.08)(cDx,0.952,0.952,0.952)(cD,,-3.36,0.09,-3.76)(cDx,0.909,0.909,0.909)(cD,,-0.98,0.09,-1.16)(cDx,0.8,0.8,0.8)(cD,,-0.19,0.11,-0.3)(cDx,0.667,0.667,0.667)(cD,,0.21,0.20,0.13)(cDx,0.5,0.5,0.5)(cD,,0.41,0.31,0.35)(cDx,0.333,0.333,0.333)(cD,,0.5,0.48,0.46)(cDx,0.2,0.2,0.2)(cD,,0.55,0.63,0.5)(cDx,0.125,0.125,0.125)(cD,,0.47,0.65,0.42)(cDx,0.083,0.083,0.083)(cD,,0.21,0.62,0.13)(cDx,0.056,0.056,0.056)(cD,,-0.19,0.57,-0.31)(cDx,0.037,0.037,0.037)(cD,,-0.76,0.50,-0.94)(cDx,0.025,0.025,0.025)(cD,,-1.64,0.4,-1.91)(cDx,0.017,0.017,0.017)(cD,,-2.96,0.24,-3.36)(cDx,0.011,0.011,0.011)(cD,,-5.16,-0.02,-5.78)(cDx,0.007,0.007,0.007)(cO,-12,-9,-6)(cC,11,9,12)(cP,5,5,5)(cL,4,0,5)(cO,-12,-9,-6)T  8JIx(y'nes1com3Ptext  Fig. 1. Ecnoic vaue of 24-hour MR T126 (dashed) and T62 (dotted) cotrol forcasts, and 14-meber T62 esemble forcasts (soid) in prdicing events dfined in terms of 10 clmtlocaly equaly likly bins for 500 hP height over the NH etrtroic, for AprilJune 1999, for uers chaateized by difeent costloss rtios (hozotal axis). For the esemble, the otmum dcsion stragy evluated here is based on the prbbiiti forcasts, cabrated uing Ferary 1999 vefction sttitics, bing greaer or equal to C/L#p ( p>C/L#p). Vaues blow -1 are not plotted.v`43E3Etk:G@nnpnnwst:helvps10COST/LOSS RATIOtW:=p@nnpnnwst:helvps10ECONOMIC VALUEtkH62@nnnnnwst:helvps9bi24 HRSve8l8 ve<l< t l9y @nnnnnwst:helvps9b T62 ENSEMBLEt l=j @nnnnnwst:helvps9b T126 CONTROLv f>?ll? t l@ @nnnnnwst:helvps9b T62 CONTROLE0.261799387799149411܀10@@@ 7 vIDs1:page-propsB9f:header-footers^8z:cmpn::cmpnjustnow]:cmpnsectionheadCf:cmpn14x2:cell |\:cmpn1column{]:cmpn2columnsL\:cmpnauthorsb_:cmpn|:bulletP:cmpnbullet>j:cmpncaption2:cmpncenteredf 2:cmpnfigcap#P:cmpnhead#M:cmpninstitutet:cmpnjustifiedH0:cmpnjustifieds&YX:cmpnleftw:cmpn|:list!1R:cmpnlistwΨ:cmpnmicro:caption:cmpnmicro:ftnoteTR:cmpnparani:cmpnparagraph :cmpnreferp1\t:cmpnsectionH7ϟ:cmpnsubheadn:cmpnsummary s[ :cmpntext_:cmpntexti{:graphicanalT+:graphicpert:graphicpertic}m:graphicperturbPvʙ:graphictextd+:graphictimeline8uG:framefootnote:numbern:frameAuto9+ :frameFollowing AnchorQ:framefloating!k:framefootnote:numbered&:framefootnote:unnumberedd5:framefullpage:frameinline=:framepageyOFy:table14x2#:autonum-streamlistN_:autonum-streamfootnote'e=:pagenum-streampageS5eof1