Sea Ice Drift Ensemble
Robert.Grumbine@noaa.gov

Forecast is of drift over next 16 days

Model being moved from geostrophic winds to real winds

Set of ensemble traces shows significant divergences between ensemble members

Average of ensemble quite different than forecast derived from main GFS run

-> Verification data, when available, will distinguish easily between skill of ensemble average and main run.

2006-10-30T08:44:02